The
Morning Call
in Allentown, Pa., produced a nice piece on the
subprime
lending crisis that is becoming more visible by the month. By way of
background,
the
Federal Reserve Board says:
About 7 1/2 million first-lien subprime mortgages are now outstanding, accounting for about 14
percent of all first-lien mortgages. So-called near-prime loans -- loans to
borrowers who typically have higher credit scores than subprime borrowers but
whose applications may have other higher-risk aspects -- account for an
additional 8 to 10 percent of mortgages.
But now, many of those loans are
crumbling. The Federal Reserve chairman, Ben Bernanke, said it could be a $100 billion problem.
You
think this won't affect you? You may be mistaken. Look at this passage from The Morning Call:
In the majority of cases, they got 30-year loans in
which the payment held steady for two years before the interest rate readjusted -- usually upward -- costing the borrowers more. Even that riskiest class, known
as '"subprime"' borrowers, received millions of new home-buying loans, home
equity loans or lines of credit with similar terms.
Whatever the type of loan, the
interest rates are now rising for millions of borrowers, leaving many near or
at the breaking point as higher payments overwhelm their family incomes and
trigger an increasing wave of foreclosures.
Watching the crash from the sidelines are the largely unregulated
mortgage brokers who lined up the borrowers with a loan, collected fees and
washed their hands of the deals. In many cases, the original lenders no longer
have a direct stake in the transaction either, having sold off the mortgage to
Wall Street investors.
Some observers are predicting massive losses for foreclosed
homeowners and the lenders stuck with the properties. One study estimates 2.2
million subprime loans made in recent years, worth $164 billion, will blow up.
And the wave of misery now washing over the real estate industry, investors and
Wall Street will crash squarely on the backs of the borrowers, leaving them
with ruined credit, bankruptcies and the likelihood that they'll lose their
homes.
The
Boston Globe tells the "so what" part of the
story. Even
if your loan payments are going just fine, the subprime mess may well mean the
value of your home drops. The article states:
That so many homeowners are
having such trouble meeting their mortgage payments could very well mean your
own home's value has dropped, that you may not be able to get a home-equity
loan, or that your retirement savings will grow more slowly than you planned.
Conceivably, it could even mean that the global financial system -- and by
extension the economy and even your job -- is threatened.
The current mortgage mess has many causes, but none is more
important than the abuse of an arcane process called securitization. In recent
decades, creative bankers developed financial securities whose value was
derived from homeowners' mortgage payments.
What was new was that, like coffees in a gourmet shop, these
securities came in various strengths. Depending on their stomach for risk,
investors could have theirs mild or intense. Plain-vanilla pension funds could
obtain safer (but lower) returns, while edgier hedge funds accepted bigger
risks in pursuit of higher yields.
What is "subprime?" Bankrate.com explains:
Generally, subprime mortgages are for borrowers with credit scores
under 620. Credit scores range from about 300 to about 900, with most consumers
landing in the 600s and 700s. Someone who is habitually late in paying bills,
and especially someone who falls behind on debts by 30 or 60 or 90 days or
more, will suffer from a plummeting credit score. If it falls below 620, that
consumer is in subprime territory.
Few lenders will use the term "subprime" to describe you or your loan, because it's considered bad salesmanship. You might hear the word "non-prime" or, more likely, an adjective won't be used to describe the mortgage at all.
Will subprime
loans force tighter lending policies? Here is some background:
But there were calming words from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who
said during congressional testimony that while there will be significant losses
from the subprime market, he still views them as bumps along the road. And
economists agree that losses from subprime mortgages won't likely trigger a
systemwide credit crunch.
Also see this story in the New York Post -- subprime woes hit Brooklyn.
Publishing Video
Letters to the Editor
In a month or so, The Sacramento (Calif.) Bee
will begin publishing video letters to the editor online.
There is a lot to work out, the paper admits. In brief, by using YouTube or related sites, readers could make videos and e-mail them to the newspaper. The main task right now for editorial pages editor David Holwerk
and his editorial colleagues is to determine how the process will work. At the moment, there are many more questions than answers. Here are a few of the questions being addressed:
What are the content rules, other than no nudity and profanity?
How many times can someone submit a video? Because of heavy volume, readers are
restricted to one letter a month. But at sacbee.com, in contrast, there's no
limit on how often readers can post online comments about stories.
How long should a video run? Should the paper edit the videos?
Holwerk thinks it's probably better, easier and more efficient to either accept
or reject a video, and forget about editing.
Should the topics be restricted to local and state issues, or
should any topic, such as the war in Iraq, be considered appropriate? Right now, again because of heavy volume, printed letters are taken
generally from people who live in the Bee's circulation region, meaning
those from other parts of California or the country are excluded.
Should that edict hold?
Trash May Not Be So Private
Once you set your trash out on a public right of way, like a
curb or sidewalk, you may be losing legal control over it.
Now imagine a reporter comes and lifts it to see what you have been up to. What about cops who go through
your trash to see if, maybe, you have been cooking up meth?
Should your trash be private?
We are always looking for your great ideas. Send Al a few sentences and hot links.
Editor's
Note: Al's Morning Meeting is a compendium of ideas, edited story
excerpts and other materials from a variety of Web sites, as well as
original concepts and analysis. When the information comes directly
from another source, it will be attributed and a link will be provided
whenever possible. The column is fact-checked, but depends on the
accuracy and integrity of the original sources cited. Errors and
inaccuracies found will be corrected.
See the related opinion in yesterdays NYT? Focus is turning...